29th January 2016
Good afternoon, friends,
In today’s Juicy Plums bulletin….
This weekend our target race is the Skybet Chase. This is a listed class handicap chase for horses aged 5yo+. It is contested over 3 miles at Doncaster tomorrow afternoon at 3.15. You can watch the race live on C4 and ATR.
A field of 15 runners goes to post on ground described as good to soft. Before we get to this week’s selections, let’s have a quick spin through the main features of the cribsheet and the splitters….
Some key statistical pointers help split the field and provide a route into the race….
If you like to find your own bets then those statistical pointers should help identify horses of interest….
LE REVE had a wind procedure after a couple of disappointing efforts at the start of the season and that accounted for an improved effort next time at Kempton.
That form was not too far away from his career-best efforts logged last season in defeat in the Betbright Chase at Kempton and the bet365 Gold Cup at Sandown – when he was officially rated 146 and 147.
He’s back down to 146 today having been dropped a pound (surprisingly perhaps) by the handicapper and if he comes on again for the wind-op and the comeback run then he can run a big race at a big each-way 16s.
It looks like he’ll get slightly better ground tomorrow at Doncaster than he had last time – and that’s in his favour.
The other one I like at the prices is DOLATULO at 12s. He ran a blinder last time out in the Becher Chase and, having been given an 8-week break, I expect him to turn up and put in a similarly competitive effort.
He goes well off a break, he handles the trip and underfoot conditions and he’s pretty much unexposed at 3 miles. He has plenty in his favour at a double-figure quote.
Connections talked about having a crack at this race last year after he won the Rowland Meyrick at Wetherby. In the event they headed straight to Aintree for the Grand National. They’ve made sure not to miss the opportunity this time round.
Warren Greatrex talks about him having solid each-way claims. I think the trainer is being cautious. The horse doesn’t have to improve too much on his last effort to reach the standard generally required to win a decent renewal of this race.
How I’ll be playing….
Note: If you’re backing each-way – and I wouldn’t put you off doing that – the standard place terms for a 15 runner handicap are 1/4 1-2-3. But be sure to check out Skybet’s prices – they are offering enhanced place terms of 1/4 1-2-3-4.
That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.
Until next time, be lucky.