1st April 2016
Good afternoon, friends,
In today’s ATC Extra bulletin….
Are you a jumps man? Or a flat man? I’d be interested to know. Maybe we should run some kind of survey to see where we all stack up.
I like the jumps racing. It’s a great spectacle – horses winging fences with the mud flying. But, as a betting medium I much prefer the flat.
And if I had to break it down a bit further, I most enjoy the big-field races over trips up to 9f – handicap or conditions.
A lot of punters hate those kinds of races – with a big-field belting up the track like the charge of the Light Brigade. A lot of ‘experts’ and pundits refer to such races as a ‘lottery’, as a ‘benevolence fund’ for the bookmaking industry….
‘How can you possibly pick a winner out of a field of 24 or 30-runners over 6f?’ I’ve heard that question asked a thousand times…. and I understand the viewpoint…. because, as you know, it isn’t easy….
But I like the challenge. And because the puzzles are so complex, confusing and difficult to solve – for backer and layer alike – mistakes are frequent and consistent and real live contenders are frequently and consistently available at the big prices I like….
So, I’m pleased to see the back of the winter and pleased that we get a couple of big mile handicaps to play up at Doncaster tomorrow.
There’s no form in the book. There’ a lot we can’t know. But I can’t let these kinds of targets pass by without throwing shots at them. These are the races I like above all others….
I’m covering the Lincoln over on my paid Against the Crowd service (take the 14-day free trial)….
Here on ATC Extra we’ll be focused on the consolation race for the horses that didn’t get into the Lincoln….
This weekend our target race is the Spring Mile. This is a Class 2 event for horses aged 4yo+. It is contested over the straight mile at Doncaster tomorrow afternoon at 2.15. You can watch the race live on C4 and ATR.
A field of 22 runners goes to post on ground currently described as soft….
Twists and turns spell Premier League profits....
The Premier League football season has turned the established order upside down. Leicester look like winning it. Spurs are the danger. The big-4 have consistently misfired.
Spurs manager Mauricio Pochettino reckons 7 teams can still win the league. He must be looking at a different league table to the one in front of me. But the last few weeks of the season promise to deliver plenty more twists, turns and surprises….
It’s been unpredictable and will remain so.... but that spells opportunity for punters…. and followers of the Prem10 service certainly cashed in during March when its value picks logged a 9 point profit (an ROI of 102%)….
More value-oriented bets are expected to deliver rich pickings in the final few weeks of the season as the jitters set in and anticipated outcomes fail to materialise….
I’ve arranged for you to get in on the Prem10 action for the rest of the season at a heavily-discounted rate. Check out the details and get this weekend’s picks here….
The 4yos have a strong record in this race having won 7 of the last 10 renewals.
With the winter months having served to strengthen and mature them, last season’s classic generation can return to the track bigger, stronger and better than their official marks – earned as 3yos – say they are. And that’s a significant advantage….
Several of them are prominent in the market – with horses that age occupying each of the top five market positions. Predominance, Keystroke, Azraff, Master Of Irony and Emerald all have the right kind of profile to go well….
But the one that interest me at a genuine each-way price is LORD OF THE ROCK at 16s.
He’s highly thought of by connections and was considered last season by people close to the yard to be Michael Dods’s best 3yo.
He disappointed at Doncaster on his final run last term when very well fancied. Something clearly went amiss. But he can make amends tomorrow under preferred jockey Paul Mulrennan on easy ground that suits.
Jamie Spencer has a very strong record in these big-field handicap events on the straight tracks. He’s been booked by Stuart Williams for the ride on EXAMINER and I’m an each-way supporter at this afternoon’s general 20s. The 5yo ran a blinder at a big price in last season’s Cambridgeshire at Newmarket and pitches up here on an official mark just 3lb higher.
How I’ll be playing….
Remember, we don’t have to be betting in hundreds to make the game worthwhile or fun. A spend of a few quid is plenty to be going on with….
Note: If you’re playing each-way then be sure to shop around and strike your bet with the bookie offering top price and Enhanced Place Terms. Nobody is up offering to pay 1/4 1-2-3-4-5 right now. But Racebets will be up with that offer for their day of race market tomorrow.
That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.
Until next time, be lucky.