20th May 2016
Good afternoon, friends,
In today’s ATC Extra bulletin….
Nothing for us last week but we’re back this weekend with a race that is right up our street – a big-field sprint handicap with plenty of competitive horses trading at double-figure prices.
This weekend our target race is the Spring Sprint….
…. This is a Class 2 event for horses aged 3yo+. It is contested over 5f at York tomorrow afternoon at 3.50. You can watch the race live on C4 and RUK.
A field of 16 horses goes to post on ground described right now as good to firm.
They really belt along at York over the minimum trip. There are a few showers forecast between now and the off. They should serve to take a little sting out of the surface – but the bottom line is that you need to be a bit of a speedball to get the business done over the 5f strip at the Knavesmire.
We’ll get straight to the selections in a moment. First a quick spin through my game plan in the big races at the Curragh and at Haydock tomorrow afternoon….
Access additional bets at Haydock and the Curragh….
Over on my paid Against the Crowd service this afternoon I’ve targeted bets in big races tomorrow at the Curragh and at Haydock….
If you’re looking for a couple more bets for tomorrow afternoon you can access those picks free of charge right now by taking a FREE test-drive of my Against the Crowd service….
The ultra-consistent Shore Step and Doctor Sardonicus – who I noted as one to follow earlier this week over on ATC after his seasonal reappearance at York – are easy enough to make a case for.
But, at the early prices – both are 7s with the firms up with prices at 1pm – they are no good for our purposes and I must look elsewhere. On ATC Extra we make a point of avoiding top-of-the-market horses and seeking out competitors at bigger prices….
After winning at Musselburgh on good to firm last June under tomorrow’s pilot, Paul Quinn, PEARL ACCLAIM was officially rated 91.
Following a subsequent losing sequence of 14 runs for trainer David Nicholls, the gelding runs off 81 tomorrow – and that makes him dangerous at a general each-way price of 16s.
Last time out at Thirsk, the 6yo put in a promising performance – certainly his best since that Musselburgh win – and showed sufficient to suggest he is ready to halt his fall down the handicap and start heading back the other way.
He’s 4lbs below the mark he won off at Musselburgh, looks likely to get his ground and gets weight from everything in the field.
There is plenty of pace in the low stalls tomorrow afternoon and BONDI BEACH BOY, the horse that won the Thirsk race Pearl Acclaim ran in, could be the hold-up horse to benefit for James Turner. And he’s a fair price at 11s with Paddy Power.
This horse thrives on the bare 5f on genuine fast ground and with only intermittent patchy rain forecast for York between now and the off I am banking on him getting the combination of conditions he only enjoyed once last term – when winning at Haydock.
At Thirsk he got fast ground and produced something very close to a personal best on my ratings. He’s gone up 4lb for that to 82 but I’m hopeful he’s in the kind of form, and with sufficient in hand on his best efforts, to overcome the handicapper’s reassessment.
How I’ll be playing….
Remember, we don’t have to be betting in hundreds to make the game worthwhile or fun. A spend of a few quid is plenty to be going on with….
Note: The firms are up with place terms of 1/4 1-2-3-4. I wouldn’t put you off betting the selections each-way if that’s the way you like to play.
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Play starts Sunday and the first bets are tomorrow. Don’t miss out...
That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.
Until next time, be lucky.