The pick of the prices in tomorrow's Dash at Epsom....

Last Updated: 03.06.2016

3rd June 2016

Good afternoon, friends,

In today’s ATC Extra bulletin….

  • A seriously fast 5f blast….
  • Going against the grain in tomorrow’s Derby….
  • This week’s ATC Extra selections….

A seriously fast 5f blast….

We’ve got an absolute crackerjack of a big-field handicap to get our teeth into at Epsom this weekend….

This weekend we’ll be shooting at the prices in the Dash….

This is a Class 2 event for horses aged 3yo+. It is contested over the fast 5f at Epsom tomorrow afternoon at 3.45. You can watch the race live on C4 and RUK.

The Dash is certainly appropriately named. There’s no faster 5f strip in the world. In fact, of the top 30 fastest winning times recorded in a 5f sprint in Europe since the beginning of the 2002 turf season, 20 of them were recorded at Epsom.

This is a race for real speedsters. The 5f strip is downhill from start to finish – and undulating too – and requires horses that can maintain balance at speed. It’s a quirky strip that won’t suit every horse and runners with course and distance form are of obvious interest.

It’s been a good race for value-seekers like us – just one favourite has managed to win over the last 15 years and plenty of big price runners have come to the fore and filled the places that matter.

A field of 19 runners goes to post on ground that looks set to be slightly on the easy side of good as things stand early on Friday afternoon

We’ll get to my selections in a moment. First a quick spin through my game plan for tomorrow’s big race….

Going against the grain in tomorrow’s Derby….

Over on my paid Against the Crowd service this afternoon I’ve highlighted my bets in tomorrow’s Derby Stakes….

  • A 9/2 favourite 24-hours prior to the off tells you exactly how open and competitive this year’s renewal is….
  • No horse in tomorrow’s field has announced itself as an obvious superstar in waiting and with cases to be made for at least a dozen of the runners I can’t bring myself to wade into the fancied horses….
  • I’m going against the consensus view – and backing a very good horse at a big each-way to overcome what many see as an insurmountable handicap….
  • And I’m supporting an outsider at a huge prices. I reckon the horse is much better than the market believes and he’s got something very significant very much in his favour….

If you’re looking for a couple more bets for tomorrow afternoon you can access those picks free of charge right now by taking a FREE test-drive of my Against the Crowd service….

Get instant access to my contrarian selections in tomorrow’s Derby

 

This week’s ATC Extra selections….

There’s masses of early-speed located in the high part of the draw in tomorrow’s race and SEEKING MAGIC could well be the one to take advantage and I want him onboard at the generally available 14s this afternoon.

The last time he ran over 5f was in this race last term when he was 5th off a mark of 93. The year before that he was 2nd off a mark of 99. Tomorrow’s mark of 95 entitles him to be there or thereabouts again.

This horse loves Epsom – he’s got form there in handicaps over 6f too – and his handy berth of stall 16 tomorrow will give him every chance of finally winning there. Oisin Murphy too the ride in last year’s race and tomorrow afternoon he’s up on the horse for the first time since.

He was a disqualified winner last time at Goodwood. That performance didn’t land his connections a payday but it did serve to tell the market that the horse is fit and firing. I expect a big run tomorrow.

MUKAYNIS was unlucky last time out at Chester and could be under-estimated at prices ranging from 16s to 20s with the firms as I write.

He didn’t get a clear run in the Boodles Diamond Handicap at the start of May when looking like he had plenty in the tank for Shane Gray. Had his progress not been checked in the straight then he would surely have been much closer to a winner who has run with plenty of credit since. Mukaynis gets to run off the same mark of 90 tomorrow and is surely a little way in front of that.

A little ease in the ground will suit just fine, the 5yo has a high-draw just 2 horses off the rail and, in Shane Gray, he has his regular rider aboard to assist him – something that can’t be said for plenty of tomorrow’s opposition….

How I’ll be playing….

Remember, we don’t have to be betting in hundreds to make the game worthwhile or fun. A spend of a few quid is plenty to be going on with….

  • SEEKING MAGIC @ 14s (Generally)
  • MUKAYNIS @ 20s (Paddy Power), 18s (Racebets & Skybet) & 16s (Generally) 

Note: The bookies are up with place terms of 1/4 1-2-3-4 this afternoon. Hold fire and you’ll no doubt be able to get Enhanced Place Terms of 1/4 1-2-3-4-5.

 

That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.

Until next time, be lucky.

Nick Pullen

Against the Crowd Extra