28th October 2016
Good afternoon, friends,
In today’s ATC Extra bulletin….
Our target race tomorrow is the Byrne Group Handicap Chase at Ascot (2.25) – a race contested over the extended 16f trip. Twelve go to post on ground described as good.
Before we get into that, a few words about an event I’m really looking forward to next weekend (Friday 4th and Saturday 5th November) – the Breeders’ Cup World Championships at Santa Anita.
For me this is a racing spectacle not to be missed – and I make a habit of tuning in, cracking open a couple of bottles of beer and watching it all unfold year-on-year.
The series of G1 Championship races run at the meeting attract stellar fields consisting of top horses from all over the globe – all competing for millions of dollars in prize money.
The racing is absolutely top-drawer as a result and, if you can learn to live with the vocal excesses of US race commentators and overlook an element of the TV coverage that seems fixated on grabbing a word with every airhead celebrity showing up at the track, it makes for really good racing entertainment spread across 2 nights.
Now I know what you’re thinking: ‘Yeah, the Breeders Cup is alright…. But I’ve never heard of 75% of the horses that are running….’
I totally get where you’re coming from. I’m exactly like you. I’m not particularly up on American form lines either. And that horse running out of Peru? Like you, I’m not sure how his last-time-out effort stacks up against the Japanese form….
To be totally honest with you, the Breeders’ Cup has always been a bit of a partisan event for me – an opportunity to throw objectivity out of the window and just support the ‘home’ team against Johnny Foreigner….
I know it’s not a smart way of betting. I know it’s just one step removed from guessing. But I like having a betting interest in the races – and I don’t play to my usual stakes.
It’s an approach that has produced mixed results over the years. I enjoyed the 2013 meeting – also held at Santa Anita – where Dank, Magician, Chriselliam, London Bridge and Outstrip conspired to reward my decidedly one-eyed approach to betting the meeting.
But other years – most years to be honest – I’ve suffered from being under-informed. I’ve enjoyed the racing – but done my money. In truth I’ve been playing into the bookmakers’ hands at the Breeders’ Cup meeting.
But next weekend it’s going to be a little different. This time round I am properly tooled-up. This year I’m heading into the meeting better-prepared and a bit more clued-up than is usually the case.
I can’t say more at the moment. Space and time are at a premium today. But keep a lookout for me in your inbox on Tuesday afternoon – when I’ll reveal exactly how I’m going to be setting out to play this season’s Breeders’ Cup meeting….
If you’re planning to watch and bet the Breeders’ Cup races next weekend, you don’t want to miss this. You’re going to be very interested to learn what I did just a few days ago. More on Tuesday afternoon.
We need to move on now to tomorrow’s target race. But before we get on to my picks, a quick word on the other races I’m playing in this weekend….
Pick up my Sodexo Gold Cup selection….
Over on my paid Against the Crowd service this afternoon….
If you’re looking for a couple more bets for tomorrow afternoon you can access those picks free of charge right now by taking a FREE test-drive of my Against the Crowd service….
NOCHE DE REYES is the pick at 15/2 for tomorrow afternoon’s Byrne Group Handicap Chase at Ascot (2.25).
It’s not a typical selection for this column in terms of price – but it generally doesn’t pay to be as ambitious in jumps races as can be justified on the flat. And at this stage of the season it can pay to stick with known quantities. Tom George’s 7-year-old makes appeal.
He finished last term with a series of decent efforts at Ludlow. And returned at Kempton earlier this month in a similar vein.
He found Miss Tenacious – who reopposes tomorrow – too good on the day (they finished well clear of the rest). But she’d been running all summer long and probably had the edge on the day in terms of match-fitness. He not only reopposes with a run under his belt, he also runs against her on better terms at the weights too. Every little helps.
This horse wouldn’t normally get a chance to run for a pot as big as the one on offer tomorrow. He needs genuine good ground and normally at this time of year underfoot conditions would have turned against him.
But there’s been little or no rain, the ground is genuine good ground and he gets an opportunity to shoot for the moon in ideal conditions – and with a race under his belt.
If he strips fitter for the Kempton run then he can produce a big race and the price is acceptable.
The ATC Extra bet recap….
Remember, we don’t have to be betting in hundreds to make the game worthwhile or fun. A spend of a few quid is plenty to be going on with….
Note: At the price I’ll backing the straight win. If you want to play for the places the firms are up with standard place terms of 1/4 1-2-3. Your call.
That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.
P.S. Don’t forget to look out for me in your inbox on Tuesday afternoon if your intention is to bet next weekend’s Breeders’ Cup meeting. I’ve got something that’s going to really help you get competitive in the battle with the layers....