28th April 2017
In this week’s issue….
We head to North Yorkshire this week for our target race – the Visit attheraces.com Handicap at Ripon (3.20)….
A field of 13-runners goes to post on ground described this afternoon as good.
Ripon is one of those tracks where some horses tend to specialize. With its undulations, Ripon is reminiscent of Goodwood. And, as with Goodwood, horses can really love the place or not to take to it at all.
There are plenty in tomorrow’s field with previous form at Ripon – so we can expect a competitive event with plenty bidding to get involved.
Not every yard shows up in sparkling form. Some handlers with runners are struggling for form. Tim Easterby has produced just one winner from his last 23 runners. David O’Meara is 2 from 32. Kevin Ryan is 3 from 45.
Of course, yards bounce back. Often at a moment’s notice. But over the last fortnight, horses from those yards have needed their runs.
Unsurprisingly, the market has found the likes of Muntadab and Pipers Note. They’ve already been seen this term to good effect. They set the early-season standard and are clearly the ones to beat.
The one that I think could be underestimated at the prices is Richard Fahey’s GEORGE BOWEN.
I should make it clear that he’s been disappointing of late. He hasn’t won in a good 18 months. And he’s been beaten a few times when seeing money in the market – including last time out on his seasonal debut at Doncaster.
That’s the puzzle with this horse. Richard Fahey says that they often fancy the horse based on what he’s showing them at home, but then fails to produce out on the track. Fahey says the horse is showing them plenty at home again – ahead of tomorrow’s race.
Sooner or later, the horse is going to put it together. Paul Hanagan resumes duty in the saddle tomorrow. Maybe he is the variable that can make all the pieces fit.
On the upside, a long losing run has seen this horse plummet from a high of 100 to 90 for tomorrow – meaning he carries bottom-weight. His last win came off a mark of 91. So, if he puts his best foot forward he is very much weighted to be in with a big shout.
Given his profile, he can’t be ‘expected’. But at a price, he’s one with sufficient talent to do the job. The handicapper is certainly giving him every chance. Tomorrow he might well take it.
He’s 10s with Skybet. That’s acceptable. I think 12s could be available as other firms go up.
The standard place terms are 1/4 1-2-3.
We went close with our selection in the Scottish Champion Hurdle last week – Zubayr was beaten at the death having been advised at 20s.
On my paid ATC service, we got the Spring Cup winner Banksea and a place at an advised 33s in the Scottish Grand National.
Good business. And we go again this week. I’m at Sandown for the bet365 Gold Cup and I’ve got one at a double-figure price. I’m also going big in one of the handicaps at Punchestown….
You can get immediate access to these extra bets on the ATC website when you take a FREE 14-day test drive of my Against the Crowd service….
That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.