Wednesday, 23rd August 2017
The 3yo and 4yo horses have dominated this century’s renewals of tomorrow’s Clipper Logistics Handicap at York (3.00) – winning 12 of the last 14 between them….
Hugo Palmer’s QASSEM can add to that record at a nice price – he’s currently available at a general 16s and that’s a price that underestimates his chance.
He’s not been seen much in Britain to date – appearing just 3 times and only twice this season since switching from Andre Fabre’s yard in France….
He was gelded back in December before showing up at York back in May for a 10f handicap on soft ground where he ran with credit to finish 5th.
Next time out – earlier this month – he was dropped in both grade and trip and those new circumstances enabled him to produce an impressive win on the all-weather at Chelmsford.
He was well in command at the end and gave every impression of a horse who can go forward again over a mile.
An inside draw – he’s berthed in stall 5 – will help him. And connections will be happy that there’s rain about. He’s unexposed, in decent form and potentially very progressive now that he’s been stepped back to a mile. The 16s is a nice price about an interesting horse.
I want to be two-against-the-field – backing both horses win only and looking for one of them to do the business and to land me a profit….
Charlie Appleby’s string is going very nicely right now and his BLAIR HOUSE is my other pick at this morning’s generally available 14s.
He ran a cracker to finish 2nd in the Royal Hunt Cup in June. Next time at Goodwood, on the softest ground he’d ever encountered, he ran down the field.
More was expected – he’d been backed into favouritism on the day. He didn’t disgrace himself though. And given the ground that day and the fact that Goodwood is one of those tracks where any horse can throw in a clunker, I’m prepared to give him the benefit of the doubt.
He’s wider out on the track than would generally be considered ideal. But plenty of horses have produced competitive runs in this from a high stall number and a change of headgear from blinkers to first-time cheekpieces might be the factor that enables him to resume the progressive curve he was following prior to Goodwood….
The Contrarian Bet Box….
To recap on where my contrarian money will be going tomorrow afternoon at York….
In the Clipper Logistics Handicap (3.00 @ York)....
That is my take on where the value lies – but you will no doubt have your own ideas and that’s exactly as it should be.
That’s all from me for today.
I’ll be back tomorrow with my take on the action on Day 3 at York’s Ebor meeting….
Until then. Stay tuned.