19th January 2018
Tomorrow afternoon’s Holloway’s Handicap Hurdle at Ascot (2.25) provides our betting target this weekend….
It’s a G3 race for horses aged 4yo+ and is contested over the extended 2m3f trip. The ground at the track is described this afternoon as soft. A field of 14 goes to post.
Harry Fry’s Air Horse One heads the weights on his mark of 140.
Down at the bottom Charlie Longsdon’s Monty’s Award – rated 121 – is 3lbs out of the handicap and carries 10-0…
It seems all is forgiven for an in-form Nicky Henderson’s Jenkins. Turned over twice at short prices earlier this term, he finally landed one last week at Kempton…
It was only a 6k C3 race and he’s been put up 11lbs for it, but punters are undeterred – backing the horse into 4s and favouritism….
Maybe punters think the 6yo has turned the corner. Maybe it’s the presence of wunderkind James Bowen in the plate – taking off 5lbs.
Whatever – he’ll will need to overcome the hefty rating rise and the 11-8 (minus Bowen’s claim) on his back tomorrow.
And punters will have to hope the blinkers – worn for the first time last week – can prove as effective again….
At the top of the market I like Crossed My Mind better at the 11/2. He’s been running some nice races without being too harshly treated. He shows up on a mark of just 124 with 7lb claimer Jonjo O’Neill on board and could run a big race….
Alas, the market has found him, and I must look elsewhere for the horse that market hasn’t quite cottoned onto….
We’ll get to my selections for tomorrow’s race in a moment….
First a quick word on the additional value bets I’ll be placing tomorrow….
It is sure to be a war of attrition in tomorrow’s Peter Marsh Handicap Chase at Haydock (3.15)….
A field of 13 heads to post to slug it out over the 3m2f trip in heavy ground and I’m two-against-the-field – backing both to win at double-figure prices and foregoing the opportunity to play for place money….
I’m on an improver the handicapper hasn’t got a full grip on yet and a horse that you’d expect to find plenty to like about jumping round the flat left-handed track on testing ground….
You can get immediate access to these extra bets on the website when you take a FREE 14-day test drive of my Against the Crowd service….
Sophie Leech’s MAN OF PLENTY is a nice each-way price….
He’s not won for over 3-years and clearly has his foibles, but he has been well-tried in quality handicaps this term and has produced a consistent run of performances that suggest he is overlooked for tomorrow’s contest at the general 20s….
Back in November at Haydock he was 4lb out of the handicap when 2nd to Limited Reserve. That one is on a decent curve of progression and is now rated almost a stone better than he was at the time….
In his next two runs at Sandown and Ascot over the minimum trip Man Of Plenty produced additional competitive efforts behind some good horse – just running up short.
The handicapper has dropped him a couple of pounds for tomorrow to 123. Every little helps…
The step-back up in trip tomorrow will also be of assistance in the effort to suck out something extra.
So too the soft surface. And with 7lb claimer Sean Houlihan onboard, he’s going to be carrying a featherweight. I expect him to travel strongly into the business-end of the race….
Man Of Plenty is not out of place in this kind of company. He can outrun his price, he is good enough to make the frame and, if things fall right, he can draw a line under his losing sequence….
In tomorrow’s Holloway’s Handicap Hurdle (Ascot, 2.25)….
MAN OF PLENTY @ 20s (Generally)
Standard place terms are 1/4 1-2-3. I’ll be backing the horse each-way.
A few tidbits to keep you occupied between races at the weekend….
That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.
P.S. One more thing: VIP tickets for the Cheltenham Festival are up-for-grabs when you open a new account with Racebets. That’s a nice potential bonus for doing little more than what comes naturally and having a bet. Check out all the details here….