1st June 2018
It’s a big day down at Epsom tomorrow – with the Derby headlining and the Dash providing top-quality handicap support. More on that a bit later….
Our Epsom target this weekend on ATC Extra is the Investec Private Banking Handicap (2.00)….
This a class2 event over the 10f trip for horses aged 3yo and rated 0 to 105 on the official scale….
A field of 11 runners goes to post on ground described this afternoon as soft….
John Gosden’s Court House heads the weights on a mark of 104. He carries 9-07. At the other end of the handicap, Sylvester Kirk’s George is rated 83 an is 4lbs out of the handicap. He carries 8-00.
We’ll get to my selections for tomorrow’s race in a moment….
First a quick word on what you missed on selections I’m making in the other big races at Epsom tomorrow….
A field of 20-runners goes to post for the Dash over the fastest 5f strip in Britain. The recent rain will probably serve to take some sting out of the surface, but it will still be over in a flash….
Caspian Prince goes for his 4th win in the event – and for what would be a 4th handler. He’s probably a 4.5f horse – and this race suits like no other in Britain. But the market has had no trouble finding him. I’m happy to look elsewhere….
I’ve done my usual trick and gone two-against-the-field with two I expect to improve at nice prices….
In the Derby, I’ve gone big – siding with one each-way at a price I think he can significantly out-run….
You can get immediate access to these extra bets on the website when you take a FREE 14-day test drive of my Against the Crowd service….
Back to tomorrow’s target race and the pick of the prices….
There’s not a tremendous amount of form in the book with these 3yos and you can expect plenty of them to be improving leaps and bounds now that they’re starting to tackle trips more in keeping with their breeding….
One who steps up to 10f for the first-time tomorrow is Sylvester Kirk’s GEORGE….
He hasn’t managed to win any of his eight races to date but I expect him to improve for the trip tomorrow and to put up a strong showing – and he’s worth backing at 12s….
The key thing about him is his trainer. He’s got an incredible record when it comes to targeting this race. He’s produced 3 winners and a place from his last 7 representatives and it’s a contest he clearly likes to find a horse for….
George is 4lbs out of the handicap. But I’m not concerned about that. I don’t think he’s here to make up the numbers and Kirk has won the race with an out-of-the-handicap performer before – River Captain in 2009.
The horse has already proved he can act on the idiosyncratic track – when 2nd over 7f on heavy ground last autumn. And whilst it won’t be heavy tomorrow – unless the skies open tonight and confound the forecasters – he doesn’t need it bottomless. A bit of cut will be sufficient for him….
Each of Kirk’s previous three winners was rated sub 85. None was particularly fancied going to post. But each had been prepared to do the job.
I’m looking for Kirk to do again what he has managed to do so well before – get one ready to go well at a price in this….
The Pick of the Prices….
To recap on where my contrarian money will be going tomorrow afternoon….
In the Investec Private Banking Handicap (2.00 @ Epsom).
That is my take on where the value lies – but you will no doubt have your own ideas and that’s exactly as it should be.
That’s all from me this week.
Enjoy your weekend.