A plum for the Lanzarote...

Last Updated: 08.01.2016

8th January 2016

Good afternoon, friends,

In today’s Juicy Plums bulletin….

  • New tools for punters who like a price….
  • This week’s target race….
  • Lanzarote Hurdle – field-splitters & angles of attack….
  • In case you missed it….
  • This week’s Juicy Plum selections….

New tools for punters who like a price….

Happy New Year to all our readers – old and new. We’ll be looking to get 2016 off to the best possible start – with a winner in tomorrow’s target race at Kempton Park.

Before we get down to business though, I wanted to give you an early-bird opportunity to get in on the ground floor of something special….

For the last few months I’ve been working on a special project with my publisher and his team.

Since the summer I’ve been in and out of meetings, consulting with designers and briefing developers. We’ve been putting something together. It’s something I know you will like – but something I can’t take the lid off just yet.

I can’t go into detail right now….

But in the next few weeks I’m going to be releasing new tools and unique data into the public domain.

Tools and data designed to assist punters like you in yoursearch for big-priced winners in the big races. The same tools and data I’ve been working with myself for many years….

Until now the data and tools I am talking about have been background features of the work I do and the services I provide. What we are working on right now will bring those intellectual assets out of the shadows and right into the foreground. Meaning you will be able to access and use them – if you want to – as and when you please.

Now is not the time to get into the nitty-gritty. I’ll be releasing all the relevant details and information shortly. But if you want to find out more and be first in-line to get the lowdown, then book yourself a guaranteed seat by signing up to our free Early Doors Preview list. You can do that right now, simply by clicking right here….

Get your name down on the list, sit back and I’ll be in touch shortly with more comprehensive information on exactly what I’m planning to release in the next few weeks.

No obligation, of course. This is just an early-doors opportunity to express an interest and to guarantee you hear about these new tools at the earliest possible opportunity.

Register your interest by clicking here. And I’ll be in touch very shortly.

This week’s target race….

This weekend our target race is the Lanzarote Hurdle. This is a Listed class event for horses aged 4yo+. It is contested over 2 miles and 5 furlongs at Kempton tomorrow afternoon at 2.35. You can watch the race live on C4 and RUK.

A field of 11 runners goes to post on ground described this afternoon as soft.

Brother Tedd, trained by Phllip Hobbs, heads the weights on a mark of 153. At the other end of the scale Little Boy Boru is out of the handicap – carrying 10-00 off his mark of 122.

Four last-time out winners head for the start – along with two who were only beaten by one last time. Five of the last 8 winners – including the winners of the last 4 renewals – had won last time out.

Field-splitters and angles of attack….

Some key statistical pointers help split the field and provide a route into the race….

There have been 8 winners of this event since the trip was extended to 2 miles and 5 furlongs….

  • All 8 winners were aged 5- to 8-years-old – the 6yos have the edge with 5 wins….
  • 7 had run in at least 3 hurdle races and no more than 8
  • All had contested at least one Class 1 race
  • 7 had won at least two hurdle races
  • Paul Nicholls has a decent record – 2 winners and a place from his last 8 participants
  • So too Nicky Henderson – his last 13 runners produced winner and 4 placed finishers

If you like to find your own bets then those statistical pointers should help identify horses of interest….

ITV to replace C4 as race broadcaster – my take….

News emerged last week that ITV will take over from C4 as exclusive terrestrial broadcasters of British racing from January next year and I’vehad a few emails from readers asking me for my take on the subject.

To be honest I’m not sure I have a definitive opinion – or even a qualified one. But I do have a few thoughts and comments to share.

If you’re interested in those you can check them out right here….

This week’s Juicy Plum selections….

It hasn’t paid to go looking too hard down the market in this event over recent times – only one of the last 8 winners was returned at a double-figure SP. 

This year’s renewal has only 11 runners but looks typically competitive. The bookies are scratching their heads and this afternoon have 3 horses, Ibis Du Rheu, Bivouac and Unowhatimeanharry, in as 9/2 co-favourites.

The one that interests me most at the prices is YALA ENKI at 7s. It’s not a huge price but we have to play the game on the surface provided and, in a smaller field than we usually tackle, I don’t want to be shooting for outsiders for the sake of it.

Last time out Venetia Williams’s horse was well-fancied for the Fixed Brush Hurdle at Haydock. He was 5th that day – trying to make all – and ultimately gave the impression the trip was slightly beyond him. This drop back to 21f should suit. As should the ground.

The 6yo has progressed for each of his 3 races since arriving from France and there is more to come tomorrow. He gets weight off all the top boys in the market and Williams has sought to impress that advantage further with 5lb claimer Charlie Deutsch in the plate.

In the context of the race, he’s a decent-enough price – and will be carrying this week’s pocket money.

How I’ll be playing….

We don’t have to be betting in hundreds to make the game worthwhile or fun. A £10.00 spend is plenty to be going on with. I’ll be investing as follows:

  • YALA ENKI £5.00 win @ 7s (Generally)

That’s all from me this week. Enjoy your weekend.

Until next time, be lucky.


Juicy Plums