15th February 2019
I’ve got something interesting for you today – which I think will stand you in good stead for the next three months. Especially if, like me, you’re always on the lookout for good bets at value prices….
More on that a bit later. But first, to business….
Newbury got called off along with everything else last weekend – and we might have lost the Betfair Hurdle….
But things got back on-track pretty quickly and the race has been shifted to Ascot this weekend at 3.20….
The Berkshire track presents a different set of challenges to Newbury, but a good race is a good race and there’s plenty of money up for grabs. A field of 14 runners will head to post to try to win a share of it….
Nigel-Twiston Davies’s Al Dancer tops the market at a skinny 5/2….
Fair enough. He’s unbeaten in his three hurdling assignments to date, he’s improved for each one and is plenty fancied for both Festival races he retains an entry in….
But it won’t be plain sailing. This will be the biggest field he’s encountered to date – and one consisting of the toughest opposition yet faced….
I’m happy enough to oppose the price and to look elsewhere. We’ll get to my selections for tomorrow’s race in a moment….
First a quick word on the other best I’m placing this weekend….
The Grand National Trial at Haydock hasn’t proved much of a pointer for the big one at Aintree in April in recent times….
Nevertheless, the race represents a strong contest in its own right, and a field of 16 head to post tomorrow afternoon to scrap-out this season’s edition….
I’m two-against-the-field with a pair of horses that offer a bit of value at the prices….
You can get immediate access to these extra bets on the website when you take a FREE 14-day test drive of my Against the Crowd service….
Back to tomorrow’s target race and the pick of the prices….
It doesn’t take a lot of imagination to pick LISP out for this at 8s. But it’s not always necessary to get creative.
The 8s is a fair-enough quote about a proven big-field performer who has already shown that the Ascot track can suit and who has been trained with this race in mind for some time….
He’s risen up the weights without winning a big pot and now sits on a mark of 145. That’s a 15lb since the start of the season with just a win at Fontwell to show for it….
But he’s shown up very strongly in two class 1 level handicaps in the meantime. The last one at Ascot was a big-field affair that saw him to very good effect. He made a lot of ground up late-on and suggested there is still plenty more to come from him….
When things fall right for him, he’s going to land a big one. Tomorrow gives him an excellent chance….
The other one I like at the prices is ZANZA at 16s with William Hill & 14s generally….
He produced a performance containing plenty of promise at Chepstow back in November before disappointing at Sandown….
I put that performance down to atrocious underfoot conditions and he bounced back with aplomb at Taunton next time over 20f….
He raced keen but still edged it, and he has the appearance and feel of a nice prospect. His opening handicap mark of 135 should be one he soon leaves behind….
The better ground should be of assistance to him tomorrow. And given that he’s still running with plenty of fizz, the step-back to 2-miles should not be seen as a negative….
The Pick of the Prices….
To recap on where my contrarian money will be going tomorrow afternoon….
In the Betfair Hurdle (3.20 @ Ascot).
That is my take on where the value lies – but you will no doubt have your own ideas and that’s exactly as it should be.
It’s been like spring this week. When the early season sunshine makes an appearance you can almost smell the Cheltenham Festival approaching….
And the business-end of the football season….
It’s really hotting-up in the Premier League (where we look set for an exciting finish) and in the Champions League (I thought Spurs were fantastic midweek)….
Oliver Upstone, author of the Across The Leagues (ATL) service – and the guy I turn to for a football steer – tells me that there will be plenty of decent value-price bets to be had in the weeks ahead….
And he’s talking about value bets in markets that don’t take the headlines – and where prices fly under most punters’ radars….
I think he’s right. And just in case you fancy taking advantage, I’ve arranged a special deal with my publisher, so you get three-months access to the ATL service for the price of one
You pay just £9.97 – that’s not much more than a round of drinks. It’s a deal that will take you all the way to the end of the football season….
And you’ll be in the box-seat for all the best value-bets along the way – bets most of the market are overlooking because they’re looking for value in all the wrong places….
That’s all from me this week.
Enjoy your weekend.