A gun-to-head angle for this week's Royal Ascot meeting....

Sunday, 13th June 2021

A gun-to-head angle for this week’s Royal Ascot meeting….

Royal Ascot starts on Tuesday....

There are a dozen handicaps to shoot at across the week….

I may not bet in each and every handicap run over the next few days, but I will be looking at them all – in detail....

I get started tomorrow – when I’ll be going live with my Long Shot picks in the handicaps run on Day 1….

My mission in the big handicaps is to dig-out ‘live’ contenders trading at wrong prices – and to back them each-way….

The objective is to get one or two big things right over the 5-days of the meeting. If I do that, I’ll turn a profit on the meeting….

  • Live horses at wrong prices....

So, how do you find ‘live’ contenders at the wrong prices? That’s the million-dollar question....

Every race is unique. There’s no one element of voodoo that  works the magic every time. Every punter has his own way of doing things....

Me? I take each race on its own merits. I study the runners and riders – from multiple angles – and I see what jumps out at me....

It’s a time consuming process – and that why most punters don’t bother with the ‘homework’ aspect of the game....

No problem. Each to his own. My way isn’t the only way, after all....

Another way to play the races is to find an angle of approach that will put you into play across a series of races – rather than just one. And by qualified angle – I mean one with a history of producing....

It’s time to put my money where my mouth. Gun-to-head now – here’s an angle to consider for the Royal Ascot meeting this week....

My Long Shot picks for Day 1 go live tomorrow….

  • Back this trend to harden....

When someone puts a gun to your head for racing information that will pay – it’s handy to have informed opinions, angles or strategies rooted in fact....

Sometimes, an angle is all facts-based….

Sometimes it is largely facts – but facts with a bit of intuitive reasoning or speculation (potentially more unreliable, of course) built in....

My angle for next week’s handicaps is one of the latter and it is this: support  handicappers sired by Frankel....

You don’t have to bet them blind. You can study any qualifiers and then take a view. But all Frankel runners are well worth your consideration next week. That’s my deduction....

He hasn’t had too many runners at the meeting yet, but he’s already got the makings of a superior record....

His handicap record at the Royal meeting looks like this...

Frankel

It’s too early to be absolutely certain. But if Frankel is going to forge a reputation as a sire whose genetics represent an advantage to horses running in Royal handicaps on Ascot’s idiosyncratic surface, you might expect his early record to look something like it does right now....

The sample size isn’t large enough to exclude the possibility that the performance of Frankel progeny in Royal handicaps to date owes more to anomaly than to any real or measurable advantage.....

But we can only work with the evidence we have to hand. And what the table above says can’t be argued with. You have to take a view on the trend with Frankel progeny. I take this trend to harden....

If I’m right, the betting returns speak of mileage. If you’d backed all Frankel’s handicappers at the meeting 1pt e/w at SP, the profit weighs in at 27.8 points....

If you’re looking for an angle to play across the 5-days at this week’s Royal – the Frankel angle is one worth considering….

I’m backing qualified Long Shots in the handicaps….

  • The final word….

That’s all from me for today….

I go live tomorrow afternoon (Monday) with my Long Shot picks for the handicaps run on Day 1 of this year’s Royal Ascot meeting….

If you fancy a few quid on at prices in the handicaps run oat Ascot over the next few days – now is the time to act. You can book your seat here….

The focus is on having a flutter and backing ‘live’ contenders the market is overlooking and sending out at big prices. In other words, bets that are low downside but big upside….

Nobody’s going to get rich. Nobody’s going to be retiring on the proceeds. But if we hit on a couple of the right handicappers this week, we’ll have a decent enough bundle to show for our efforts….

If you like a few quid on ‘live’ outsiders at big meetings – Long Shots is a service that was built for you. Sign up for this week right here….

Meanwhile….

Anything to report? Anything to say? Anything to share? Contact me at: nick.pullen@oxonpress.co.uk

Until next time. Stay tuned.

Nick Pullen

Against the Crowd

P.S. I go out with my Long Shots for Day 1 tomorrow afternoon. There’s not much time. Make sure you’re in time to get on the distribution list before the selections go out. Do that now – you can do it here….